On Thursday, lawmakers in the State Duma passed Russia’s federal budget for the next three years, along with a series of tax hikes designed to bolster government revenues amid continued priority spending on the war in Ukraine by the Kremlin.
The proposed budget anticipates government revenues of 40.3 trillion rubles ($491.7 billion) for the upcoming year, while expenditures are projected at 44 trillion rubles ($548.3 billion), resulting in an expected deficit of 3.8 trillion rubles ($47.3 billion).
By 2026, defense and national security spending are projected to consume approximately 38% of the total budget, amounting to 16.8 trillion rubles ($209.5 billion). This marks a slight reduction from the previous two years but remains significantly higher than pre-conflict levels.
Lawmakers emphasized funding for domestic initiatives, including over 10 trillion rubles ($124.6 billion) earmarked for family support programs and an allocation of 50 billion rubles ($623 million) for a government-supported charity aimed at assisting soldiers and their families affected by the conflict in Ukraine.
While overall budget spending is expected to stay relatively stable, the allocations indicate that the Kremlin continues to prioritize foreign policy and defense over other areas.
In conjunction with the budget, the State Duma also ratified a number of tax reforms intended to address the financial shortfall stemming from increased military spending and declining oil and gas revenues due to Western sanctions. The value-added tax (VAT) is set to rise from 20% to 22%, a change anticipated to drive consumer prices higher.
Economists, including those from the Finance Ministry, predict that inflation may experience a modest uptick following the VAT increase starting next year.
Additionally, more small businesses will be included in the VAT system, as the annual revenue threshold for VAT liability will be reduced from 60 million rubles ($732,000) to 10 million rubles ($122,000).
Some lawmakers have expressed concerns that this shift could place additional burdens on small businesses and individual entrepreneurs, many of whom earn less than 200,000 rubles ($2,500) monthly after taxes.
Economists estimate that the entire package, which also introduces a new tax on the profits of betting firms, could generate approximately 3 trillion rubles ($35 billion) in extra revenue.
On Thursday, State Duma Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin remarked that lawmakers passed the federal budget and tax increases “under challenging circumstances,” referencing over 30,000 sanctions imposed on Russia as well as what he termed “unfriendly actions” by the EU targeting Russian assets.
The budget for 2026-2028 received 349 votes in favor, with 56 lawmakers—primarily from the Communist Party—abstaining. Only one deputy, Anton Krasnoshantov from the ruling United Russia party, was officially recorded as opposing the measure, although his “no” vote was said to have been due to a technical mistake.
The federal budget and related tax legislation will now proceed to the Federation Council, where they are expected to gain swift approval before being sent to President Vladimir Putin for his signature.